lunes, 4 de enero de 2016

Russian anti-gay laws in USA?...Los Castro: 20,805 dias en el PODER!!!...Free trade increases Economic Freedom!

Scott Lively Begs For Money And Calls For Passage Of Russian-Style Anti-Gay Laws Around The World

Anti-gay activist Scott Lively closed out 2015 by publishing a couple of open letters to his fellow anti-gay activists begging for money and urging them to join him in pushing to the passage of Russian-style anti-gay laws in America and elsewhere.
Lively bragged that he is being targeted by gay activists because his Abiding Truth Ministries is "one of the most feared and hated pro-family organizations in the world ... because we know more about the history, strategies and tactics of their movement than just about anyone on our side." The downside of being so "feared" is that he is now facing a lawsuit stemming from his anti-gay activism in Uganda, which is why Lively was begging for donations:
My friends, SMUG v Lively is truly a David v Goliath battle. I’m running a one-man office on a shoestring budget of less than $120,000 per year, provided almost entirely by donations of $50 and $100 from average people. Our donor base is small, mostly elderly, and very difficult to expand due to the success of the anti-Lively propaganda. While Liberty Counsel has been funding our legal defense, this lawsuit has nevertheless caused us major financial hardship and seriously threatens our future.
Frankly, I question whether ATM will survive the decade without greater support from the individuals scattered across the society who recognize the danger of the LGBT agenda and are willing to stand with us financially against it. That can only happen if the people who already support us encourage their like-minded friends and allies to donate to us. 
In a separate "letter to the international pro-family movement," Lively declared that "the Leaders and Activists of the LGBT movement are malicious deceivers and evil-doers, deliberately subverting civilized society and viciously attacking all opponents to advance their selfish and self-destructive interests" and called for anti-gay activists to focus on preventing the passage of antidiscrimination ordinances that protect sexual orientation in places where they don't already exist and repealing them where they do. 
Lively went on to recommend that his fellow anti-gay activists likewise work to pass Russian-style laws banning gay "propaganda" in America and around the world:
We need to build international pro-family solidarity on a foundation of genuine moral authority, meaning it must rest on the premise that homosexuality itself is personally and socially harmful, and not pretend that our only social and political interests are the "welfare of children" or the "definition of marriage." That pretense is a product of the same diseased pro-family "leadership" that marched the American pro-family movement from one disastrous defeat to the next for the past three decades, and it is now being exported to the rest of the world by the same men.
The beauty of the Russian law is it cuts right to the heart of the real problem of LGBT advocacy: the recruitment of children. What I mean by recruitment of children is not primarily the sexual exploitation of young people by adult homosexuals, though that represents a dark current within the larger “gay” culture, especially among the men. What I mean is the normalization of homosexual conduct and culture to children and youths, leading them to engage in homosexual experimentation among themselves and subsequently self-identify as "gay." An entire generation of American, British and Canadian children has been enslaved to this corrupt culture and ideology through the very propaganda that Russia has now banned.
While numerous countries of the African continent have chosen a much stricter approach, seeking to deter all homosexual conduct through harsh criminal sanctions, the Russian law balances the privacy rights of adult homosexuals (who choose to live discretely outside the mainstream of society) with the need of the nation to protect its children from the ravages of sexual perversion. It deters the LGBT lobby from attempting to mainstream the "gay" lifestyle, while granting the individual members of its community the "right to be left alone" that was the original stated goal of their movement in its early years, before it adopted the militant fascist tactics it is known for today.

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Cuba: Las tres preguntas

CubaLos Castro han cumplido 57 eneros en el poder. A estas alturas, la curiosidad general se limita a formular tres preguntas inquietantes: ¿por qué han durado tanto? ¿Es un fracaso, como dicen sus adversarios, o un éxito, como aseguran los simpatizantes? ¿Qué sucederá después de este larguísimo gobierno, el más prolongado de la historia de América?
El gobierno de los Castro ha sido tan duradero porque es una dictaduraque no busca el consentimiento de la sociedad, ni se dedica a obedecerla. Por el contrario, sus esfuerzos están permanentemente consagrados a dirigirla y controlarla.
El secreto de esa permanencia es convertir al pueblo en rebaño y estabularlo convenientemente. Para esos fines dispone de un formidable aparato de contrainteligencia cifrado en unas 60.000 personas y un probado guion represivo. El 0,5% de la población, de acuerdo con la infalible fórmula aprendida de la Stasi alemana, madre y maestra de los servicios cubanos junto al KGB.
El otro régimen parecido que existe en el planeta, Corea del Norte, es también una dinastía militar y tiene 68 años de vida continua. El padre de ese orquestado hormiguero de gimnastas rítmicos fue Kim Il Sung. Comenzó en 1948 y murió, mandando, en 1994, no sin antes legar a los museos las sillas en las que había colocado sus egregias nalgas. Luego le han seguido su hijo Kim Jong Il y su nieto Kim Jong Un.
Las Tropas de Seguridad norcoreanas exceden los 106.000 miembros para controlar 24 millones de sobrevivientes. Más del doble de la población cubana. Ese aparato policíaco, que no se anda con chiquitas, ha creado un sistema de castas políticas llamado Songbun que divide a las personas en tres grupos: leales, vacilantes y hostiles. Los leales sirven como auxiliares de la contrainteligencia en el acoso y vigilancia de los otros dos sectores. No en balde, cuando Fidel Castro visitó Corea del Norte, según cuentan los que le acompañaron, quedó fascinado con el experimento. Le pareció un país modélico.
¿Ha triunfado o fracasado el castrismo? Si se mide por la capacidad de adherirse al poder, ha triunfado sin la menor duda. Raúl Castro era ministro de Defensa a los 28 años, ya tiene 85, nunca ha descendido de buenos autos oficiales y nunca ha dejado dejado de vivir espléndidamente junto a la familia real. Para él y para su grupo de paniaguados, ha sido un éxito.
Si se mide por la influencia lograda por el régimen, la conclusión es la misma. Venezuela se ha convertido en una generosa colonia, meticulosamente explotada, y los operadores políticos de la DGI cubana orientan, controlan o influyen en una docena de desdichados países latinoamericanos, al extremo de que la paz colombiana irresponsablemente se negocia en La Habana.
Pero si lo que se tiene en cuenta es el la prosperidad general del país y el grado de felicidad genuina del conjunto de la población, ha sido unfracaso rotundo. A lo largo de tres generaciones, los cubanos han sufrido miles de fusilamientos, han sido encarcelados decenas de millares de presos políticos, se han exiliado millones de personas, y el gobierno ha erigido el modo de creación de riquezas más improductivo de la historia, mientras demolía meticulosamente la estructura material que había heredado. Es el arte de hacer ruinas en su máxima expresión.
En 57 años de control absoluto del poder, los Castro han agravado hasta el martirio los elementos clave de la vida cotidiana: la alimentación y el acceso a agua potable, la vivienda, el transporte, las comunicaciones, el suministro de electricidad, la ropa y el calzado. De ese tétrico panorama escapan, como siempre, los millares de cubanos en estos días varados en Costa Rica, compasivamente cuidados por el gobierno y el pueblo de ese ejemplar país.
Esos nefastos resultados no son, en realidad, producto de la maldad, sino de la ignorancia, la ambición de poder y la arrogancia revolucionaria emanada de las certezas marxistas. Estaban dispuestos a matar y a hacer daño con tal de mantenerse en el poder y obligar a los cubanos a vivir de acuerdo con la utopía que se les había alojado en sus enfebrecidas cabecitas. Por eso han devastado el país.
¿Qué pasará en el futuro? Nada sustancial. Mientras no desaparezcan o se retiren de la vida pública los Castro y su camarilla, y mientras ese sistema, hoy transformado en Capitalismo Militar de Estado, permanezca en pie, el país seguirá condenado a la emigración masiva de cubanos desesperados y a la improductividad más radical.
El problema de fondo radica en las percepciones y en la confianza que emana de ellas. Da igual si los norteamericanos quitan el embargo o si aumenta sustancialmente el número de turistas. Da igual si el presidente Obama visita Cuba, como los últimos tres papas, y hace un discurso a favor de la libertad.
Los cubanos, como regla general, no creen en el sistema. No creen en sus compatriotas. No creen en el destino del país. No creen en quienes lo dirigen, y mucho menos en la capacidad de esa burocracia adormilada y torva que imperturbablemente continúa practicando la planificación centralizada. Todo eso comenzará a cambiar después de enterrado el castrismo. Nunca antes.
Posted in EstudiosOpiniónAnálisisAsuntos internacionalesActualidad,DestacablesLibertad humana
Carlos Alberto Montaner

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2016 Index of Economic Freedom: Yet More Evidence of Free Trade’s Benefits

The latest rankings of trade freedom around the world, included in the forthcoming 2016 Index of Economic Freedom, confirm that citizens of countries that embrace free trade are better off than those in countries that do not. The data continue to show a strong correlation between trade freedom and a variety of positive indicators, including economic prosperity, low poverty rates, and clean environments. Reducing barriers to open markets remains a proven recipe for prosperity. Governments interested in higher economic growth, less hunger, and better environmental quality should increase trade freedom.
The latest rankings of trade freedom around the world,[1] included by The Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street Journal in the forthcoming2016 Index of Economic Freedom, confirm that citizens of countries that embrace free trade are better off than those in countries that do not. The data continue to show a strong correlation between trade freedom and a variety of positive indicators, including economic prosperity, low poverty rates, and clean environments.
Worldwide, the average trade freedom score improved slightly, from 75.3 to 75.6 (of a maximum score of 100). The improvement was due to a modest decline in average tariff rates among the countries measured.
 
The volume of world trade in goods and services plummeted during the global recession, declining by nearly 20 percent between 2008 and 2009. Since then, trade volume has increased every year. In dollar terms, world trade volume is currently larger than ever, and the World Trade Organization (WTO) predicts another 3.9 percent increase in global trade in 2016.[2]
U.S. trade volume has also increased. From 2013 to 2014, combined U.S. exports and imports increased by $156 billion to $5.2 trillion, the highest overall level in history.

Why Trade Freedom Matters

A comparison of economic performance and trade scores in the 2016 Index of Economic Freedomdemonstrates the importance of trade freedom for prosperity and well-being. Countries with the most trade freedom have higher per capita incomes, lower rates of hunger in their populations, and cleaner environments.
Boosting Trade and Economic Freedom. Since World War II, government barriers to global commerce have been reduced significantly. Today, the average worldwide tariff rate is less than 3 percent. The average world tariff rate has fallen by one-third since the turn of the century alone.[3]Thirty-eight countries have an average tariff rate of 1 percent or less.
 
These countries with low tariffs and few non-tariff barriers benefit from stronger economic growth. But free trade policies do not just promote economic growth, they encourage freedom—including protection of private property rights and the freedom of average people to buy what they think is best for their families, regardless of attempts by special-interest groups to restrict that freedom.
 
But not all countries have embraced free trade. Double-digit tariff rates are applied in 37 countries, and even countries with low average tariff rates often have high tariff peaks for specific items. In the United States, for example, the average tariff rate is just 1.5 percent, but pickup trucks face a prohibitive 25 percent tariff, and many types of clothing are subject to double-digit tariffs.[4]
Approaches to Trade Freedom. The simplest way to achieve trade freedom is to unilaterally reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers. Reducing trade barriers allows countries to reap benefits including increased foreign investment and accelerated economic growth. Many developing countries have taken this route. Economist Richard Baldwin described unilateral tariff cuts in developing countries beginning in the 1980s as a “curiously universal phenomenon.”[5] These unilateral tariff cuts generated dramatic results. As economist Pierre-Louis Vézina observed, “[T]wo decades of unilateral tariff-cutting in emerging economies accompanied the most successful trade-led development model of the past 50 years, i.e., ‘Factory Asia.’”[6]
Reducing barriers to imports allows countries to participate in global value chains by encouraging foreign investment and lowering the cost of inputs. Increasing trade barriers has the opposite result. According to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), “Protective measures against imports of intermediate products increase the costs of production and reduce a country’s ability to compete in export markets: tariffs and other barriers to imports are effectively a tax on exports.”[7]
 
Trade agreements have provided another way to reduce trade barriers. As Douglas A. Irwin observed:
[M]ultilateral reductions in trade barriers may reduce political opposition to free trade in each of the countries involved. That is because groups that otherwise would be opposed or indifferent to trade reform might join the campaign for free trade if they see opportunities for exporting to the other countries in the trade agreement. Consequently, free trade agreements between countries or regions are a useful strategy for liberalizing world trade.[8]
More than 250 regional and bilateral agreements are in force, with dozens more being negotiated.[9]
Examples of regional and sectoral negotiations include the following:
Continental Free Trade Area for Africa (CFTA). In 2012, the African Union Summit approved a plan to create a continental free trade zone by 2017. According to the Action Plan for Boosting Intra-Africa trade, “Trade is widely accepted as an important engine of economic growth and development. There are many regions and countries of the world that have been able to lift their people from poverty to prosperity through trade. In Africa however, trade has not served as a potent instrument for the achievement of rapid and sustainable economic growth and development.”[10]Potential benefits identified by the African Union include improved food security through reductions in agricultural protectionism, increased competitiveness, and reduced reliance on foreign aid.
Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Current TPP participants are the United States, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam. TPP negotiations were completed in October, and member countries are currently reviewing the final product.
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). Negotiations for this agreement between the United States and the European Union are ongoing. A TTIP agreement that reduces barriers to trade and investment between the United States and the EU, thereby empowering individuals on both continents, would boost trade freedom. To be successful, negotiators need to resist efforts to create new regulatory barriers to trade under the guise of “harmonization.”
Trade in Services Agreement (TISA). Service industries account for nearly 80 percent of the U.S. economy.[11] In 2013, countries representing a majority of the world’s services market launched TISA negotiations, covering industries such as transportation, travel, communications services, construction, insurance, banking, and computer services. Numerous barriers interfere with the free flow of trade in services. For example, state-owned enterprises often restrict competition from foreign companies; many government policies are biased against services provided by foreign companies; local ownership requirements require service providers to partner with local businesses; and data storage requirements force companies to store their data locally.
Information Technology Agreement (ITA). This past July, 54 WTO members agreed to eliminate tariffs on more than 200 products accounting for over $1 trillion in annual trade. Tariffs will be eliminated on products including semi-conductors, GPS navigation systems, magnetic resonance imaging machines, telecommunications satellites, and touch screens.[12]
Environmental Goods Agreement (EGA). Australia, Canada, China, Costa Rica, the EU, Hong Kong, Iceland, Israel, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Switzerland, Taiwan, Turkey, and the United States are in negotiations to reduce trade barriers for environmental goods ranging from carbon dioxide scrubbers to solar panels.[13]
Ending Agricultural Export Subsidies. The original WTO agreement established limits on export subsidies, but agricultural products were largely exempt from these controls. Efforts to reduce agricultural export subsidies are currently underway.[14]
One problem with regional and bilateral agreements is that each agreement has a separate set of rules. Consequently, it is a challenge for many companies to operate efficiently under them. According to a recent survey, 70 percent of companies do not take full advantage of regional trade agreements. Two-thirds of survey respondents said they expect global trade rules to become more complicated in coming years, not more streamlined.[15] It has been over 20 years since the creation of the WTO and conclusion of the Uruguay Round, the last comprehensive global trade agreement.

Next Steps for Trade

Today, it is rare for a product traded on the global market to be made entirely in one country. As a WTO report concluded: “The notion of ‘country of origin,’ something carefully recorded by customs authorities, is in particular losing much of its significance, since the total commercial value of a product is attributed to the country in which it last underwent processing, regardless of its relative contribution to the value-added chain. As a result, the study of bilateral trade balances is becoming less relevant.”[16] In the United States, nearly half of all imports are intermediate goods used by U.S. manufacturers.[17] Permanently eliminating tariffs on these inputs would make American companies more competitive.
Most Americans are open to the idea of more free trade. According to a 2014 survey by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, 65 percent of Americans believe that “globalization, especially the increasing connections of our economy with others around the world, is mostly good for the United States.”[18] A 2014 Pew Research Center survey found that 68 percent of Americans believe growing trade and business ties with other countries is “a good thing.”[19] A 2015 Pew survey found that 58 percent of Americans believe that trade agreements have been “a good thing” for the United States.[20]
Not surprisingly, when The Heritage Foundation’s American Perceptions Initiative asked, “Which is more important? Allowing free trade so companies can buy the inputs they need at a lower cost, low-income families can buy clothing at more affordable prices, and the economy can create new jobs, or allowing Congress to protect some politically connected industries from low-priced imports,” just 9 percent of Americans chose protectionism.[21]
The 2016 Index of Economic Freedom shows that people who live in countries with low trade barriers are better off than those who live in countries with high trade barriers. Reducing those barriers remains a proven recipe for prosperity. Governments interested in higher economic growth, less hunger, and better environmental quality should work to increase trade freedom.
—Bryan Riley is Jay Van Andel Senior Analyst in Trade Policy in the Center for Trade and Economics, of the Institute for Economic Freedom and Opportunity, at The Heritage Foundation. Ambassador Terry Miller is Director of the Center for Trade and Economics and the Center for Data Analysis, of the Institute for Economic Freedom and Opportunity, as well as Mark A. Kolokotrones Fellow in Economic Freedom, at The Heritage Foundation.
 

Appendix B: Methodology

The trade freedom scores reported in this Backgrounder are based on two variables: trade-weighted average tariff rates and non-tariff barriers (NTBs).
Different imports entering a country can, and often do, face different tariffs. The weighted average tariff uses weights for each tariff based on the share of imports for each good. Weighted average tariffs are a purely quantitative measure and account for the basic calculation of the score using the equation:
Trade Freedomi = 100(Tariffmax – Tariffi) / (Tariffmax – Tariffmin) – NTBi
where Trade Freedomi represents the trade freedom in country iTariffmax and Tariffmin represent the upper and lower bounds for tariff rates, and Tariffi represents the weighted average tariff rate in country i. The minimum tariff is naturally zero, and the upper bound was set as a score of 50.NTBi, an NTB penalty, is then subtracted from the base score. The penalty of 5, 10, 15, or 20 points is assigned according to the following scale:
  • Penalty of 20. NTBs are used extensively across many goods and services or impede a significant amount of international trade.
  • Penalty of 15. NTBs are widespread across many goods and services or impede a majority of potential international trade.
  • Penalty of 10. NTBs are used to protect certain goods and services or impede some international trade.
  • Penalty of 5. NTBs are uncommon, protecting few goods and services, with very limited impact on international trade.
  • No penalty. NTBs are not used to limit international trade.
Both qualitative and quantitative data are used to determine the extent of NTBs in a country’s trade policy regime. Restrictive rules that hinder trade vary widely, and their overlapping and shifting nature makes gauging their complexity difficult. The categories of NTBs considered in the trade freedom penalty include:
  • Quantity restrictions. These include import quotas, export limitations, voluntary export restraints, import/export embargoes and bans, and countertrade measures.
  • Price restrictions. These include antidumping duties, countervailing duties, border tax adjustments, and variable levies and tariff rate quotas.
  • Regulatory restrictions. These include licensing; domestic content and mixing requirements; sanitary and phytosanitary standards; safety and industrial standards regulations; packaging, labeling, and trademark regulations; and advertising and media regulations.
  • Customs restrictions. These include advance deposit requirements, customs valuation procedures, customs classification procedures, and customs clearance procedures.
  • Direct government intervention. These include subsidies and other aids; government industrial policy and regional development measures; government-financed research and other technology policies; national taxes and social insurance; competition policies; immigration policies; state trading, government monopolies, and exclusive franchises; and government procurement policies.
As an example: Brazil received a trade freedom score of 69.4. By itself, Brazil’s weighted average tariff of 7.8 percent would have yielded a score of 84.4, but the existence of NTBs in Brazil reduced its score by 15 points.
Gathering data on tariffs to make a consistent cross-country comparison can be a challenging task. Unlike data on inflation, for instance, some countries do not report their weighted average tariff rate or simple average tariff rate every year. To preserve consistency in grading trade policy, the authors use the World Bank’s most recently reported weighted average tariff rate for a country. If another reliable source reported more updated information on a country’s tariff rate, the authors note this fact and may review the grading if strong evidence indicates that the most recently reported weighted average tariff rate is outdated.
The World Bank produces the most comprehensive and consistent information on weighted average applied tariff rates. When the weighted average applied tariff rate is not available, the authors use the country’s average applied tariff rate. When the country’s average applied tariff rate is not available, the authors use the weighted average or the simple average of most-favored-nation (MFN) tariff rates. In the very few cases in which data on duties and customs revenues are not available, the authors use international trade tax data instead.
In all cases, the authors clarify the type of data used and the different sources for those data in the corresponding write-up for the trade policy factor. When none of this information is available, the authors simply analyze the overall tariff structure and estimate an effective tariff rate.
The trade freedom scores for 2016 are based on data for the period covering the second half of 2014 through the first half of 2015. To the extent possible, the information is current as of June 30, 2015. Any changes in law effective after that date have no positive or negative impact on the 2016 trade freedom scores.
Finally, unless otherwise noted, the authors use the following sources to determine scores for trade policy, in order of priority:
  1. The World Bank, World Development Indicators 2015.
  2. The World Trade Organization, Trade Policy Review, 1995–2015.
  3. Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, 2015 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers.
  4. The World Bank, Doing Business 2014 and Doing Business 2015.
  5. U.S. Department of Commerce and U.S. Department of State, Country Commercial Guide, 2010–2015.
  6. Economist Intelligence Unit, Country Commerce, 2015.
  7. World Economic Forum, The Global Enabling Trade Report 2014.
  8. Official government publications of each country.

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